Fullervision Weather Forecast
Cattaraugus County/Little Valley, NY: Valid Monday, January 5, 2015 12 noon
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All in all, the forecast calls for a very quiet and seasonable next week or so. The only precipitation in the forecast period is a round of light flurries from a low-pressure system passing to our southwest. In terms of temperatures, there’s a little bit of disagreement among the models as to specific details, but they generally agree on seasonable temperatures, with slightly below average highs and slightly above average lows. In fact, the later part of the week and the weekend may, depending on circumstances, jump a few degrees above the freezing mark again. With moderate cloud cover throughout the period, the region doesn’t have an immediate threat of subzero temperatures. Furthermore, with relatively few low-pressure systems swinging through, and Lake Erie almost frozen over, the threat of snow is minimal.
The longer-range model forecasts suggest that the colder, polar air may intensify and bring down a cold shot of air toward the end of the month. The middle to end of January is indeed typically the coldest time of the year, and while I cannot guarantee that a warm-up is on the way in February, this coming late-January cold snap, which I don’t think will be particularly long-lasting, will probably be the last of the worst of it. We could see cold nights in February (the low temperatures take a few more days to rise than the highs, since any clear sky will still give plenty of opportunity for radiational cooling) but the light at the end of the winter tunnel is slowly, but steadily, approaching.
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for weekly summary forecasts. Updates on the situation will be posted in those places.
High: 30; Low: 13
Average day of lowest temperate: January 20